2026 FIFA World Cup
A concluded programme
The tournament concluded on 2026-07-19 and the programme is closed and certified. This page is a record of a finished thing. It is not a live dashboard, and nothing on it should be read as a current market view.
What this record does not contain
The tournament-champion market's final resolution was not captured into the record. The last observed state was open, priced 0.584, at 2026-07-19T21:30:06Z. This is a measured capture gap. It is recorded, not repaired, and not reconstructed.
The public World Cup bundle continues to update on a concluded event and now carries no archive records or player records. Figures below are post-tournament residue, shown as evidence of that decay. The program record is the certified closure, not this feed.
What the live feed still carries
| Category | Markets | Kalshi open interest (contracts) | Polymarket liquidity (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tournament Winner | 50 | 286,220. | 0 |
| Other World Cup Markets | 12 | 7,361. | 2,528. |
| Team Advancement | 9 | 2,350. | 0 |
| Goals & Scoring | 3 | 1,701. | 0 |
Open interest, liquidity and volume are different quantities. They are presented in their own units and never cross-compared.
Recorded verbatim
Implied championship probability per venue. These are independent per-team 'yes' markets, not a normalized distribution — across all teams they sum to more than 100% (overround). Kalshi (contracts) and Polymarket (USD) are shown separately and never blended. Belief shifts compare the current value with the 00:00 UTC canonical mark 1 and 7 days prior, and appear only once those frozen records exist.
Where the programme lives
The canonical World Cup estate is published at volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/. The certified closure record and its corrections manifest are held by the institution and are not reproduced here.
Every figure on this Platform is read from the public record published at volroc.ai and governed by the institution at reference.volroc.ai. The Platform summarises, links and analyses. It never amends the record, and it holds no private copy of it.